Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000088 0.000098 0.000108 0.000120 0.000133 0.000146 0.000163
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000087 0.000102 0.000120 0.000140 0.000164 0.000194
2026-02-08 0.000063 0.000078 0.000095 0.000118 0.000145 0.000178 0.000222
2026-02-15 0.000055 0.000071 0.000091 0.000117 0.000151 0.000193 0.000252
2026-02-22 0.000050 0.000066 0.000087 0.000117 0.000157 0.000209 0.000284
2026-03-01 0.000044 0.000061 0.000084 0.000116 0.000161 0.000222 0.000313
2026-03-08 0.000041 0.000058 0.000082 0.000117 0.000167 0.000239 0.000348
2026-03-15 0.000037 0.000055 0.000079 0.000117 0.000173 0.000254 0.000382
2026-03-22 0.000034 0.000052 0.000077 0.000116 0.000176 0.000266 0.000413
2026-03-29 0.000032 0.000050 0.000076 0.000118 0.000184 0.000286 0.000456
2026-04-05 0.000030 0.000048 0.000074 0.000118 0.000188 0.000300 0.000493
2026-04-12 0.000028 0.000045 0.000072 0.000117 0.000192 0.000313 0.000528
2026-04-19 0.000026 0.000043 0.000070 0.000116 0.000196 0.000328 0.000567
2026-04-26 0.000024 0.000041 0.000068 0.000116 0.000200 0.000344 0.000610
2026-05-03 0.000023 0.000039 0.000066 0.000115 0.000202 0.000354 0.000645
2026-05-10 0.000021 0.000037 0.000064 0.000114 0.000205 0.000368 0.000687
2026-05-17 0.000020 0.000036 0.000063 0.000114 0.000210 0.000385 0.000736
2026-05-24 0.000019 0.000034 0.000061 0.000113 0.000212 0.000397 0.000777
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000114 0.000218 0.000417 0.000834
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000032 0.000059 0.000114 0.000223 0.000434 0.000888
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000113 0.000225 0.000447 0.000936
2026-06-21 0.000015 0.000030 0.000058 0.000115 0.000233 0.000473 0.001010
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000029 0.000057 0.000115 0.000237 0.000490 0.001069